Working Papers by Gary W. Cox
Showing 1 to 7 of 7 records.
| # | Title | Authors | Date | Length | Paper | Abstract | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1158 | Gerrymandering Roll-Calls: Votes, Decisions, and Partisan bias in Congress, 1879-2000 | Cox, Gary W. Katz, Jonathan N. | 09/01/2003 | 16 pages | wp1158.pdf | We argue that the standard toolbox used in electoral studies to assess the bias and responsiveness of electoral systems can also be used to access the bias and responsiveness of legislative systems. We consider which items in the toolbox are the most appropriate for use in the legislative setting, then apply them to estimate levels of bias in the U.S. House from 1879 to 2000. Our results indicate a systematic bias in favor of the majority party over this period, with the strongest bias arising during the period of "Czar rule" (51st-60th Congresses, 1889-1910) and during the post-packing era (87th-106th Congresses, 1961-2000). This finding is consistent with the majority party possessing a significant advantage in setting the agenda. | |
| 1011 | The Reapportionment Revolution and Bias in U.S. Congressional Elections | Katz, Jonathan N. Cox, Gary W. | 07/01/1997 | 20 pages | wp1011.pdf | We develop a simple formal model of the redistricting process that highlights the importance of two factors: first, partisan or bipartisan control of the redistricting process; second, the nature of the reversionary outcome, should the state legislature and governor fail to agree on a new districting plan. Using this model, we derive various predictions about the levels of partisan bias and responsiveness that should be observed under districting plans adopted under various constellations of partisan control of state government and reversionary outcomes, testing our predictions on postwar (1946{70) U.S. House electoral data. We find strong evidence that both partisan control and reversionary outcomes systematically affect the nature of a redistricting plan and the subsequent elections held under it. Further, we show that the well-known disappearance circa 1966 of what had been a long-time pro-Republican bias of about 6% in nonsouthern congressional elections can be explained completely by the changing composition of northern districting plans. | |
| 939 | Why Did The Incumbency Advantage In U.S. House Elections Grow? | Cox, Gary W. Katz, Jonathan N. | 09/01/1995 | sswp939c.pdf | |||
| 417 | Log-Linear Analysis of Contingency Tables: An Introduction for Historians with an Application to Thernstrom on the 'Floating Proletariat. | Cox, Gary W. Galenson, David W. Kousser, J. Morgan | sswp417c.pdf | ||||
| 337 | A Ham Sandwich Theorem for General Measures. | Cox, Gary W. McKelvey, Richard D. | 06/20/2011 | sswp337c.pdf | |||
| 295 | The Rule of Five. | Cox, Gary W. Tutt, Tim | 11/01/1979 | sswp295.pdf | |||
| 292 | Turnout and Rural Corruption: New York as a Test Case. | Cox, Gary W. Kousser, J. Morgan | sswp292c.pdf |